Tag Archives: Markets
Markets
Interactive CoT Report
Interactive CoT Report
Our CoT interactive report allows users to change parameters, markets, dates, and measures. We believe it to be the most comprehensive interactive report on this data available anywhere.... Read More
Markets
Updating Inflation Expectations
Updating Inflation Expectations
Posted By Jim Bianco
Inflation expectations are rising according to both market measures and public surveys.... Read More
Markets
Rising U.S. Government Interest Costs
Rising U.S. Government Interest Costs
Posted By Greg Blaha
For the last few decades the U.S. has been in a low interest rate environment where deficit spending would not cause major issues. A 40-year high in inflation and the higher rates that followed are stressing the country's finances.... Read More
Markets
Conference Call Replay & Notes – Where Do Bonds Fit in a Diversified Portfolio?
Conference Call Replay & Notes – Where Do Bonds Fit in a Diversified Portfolio?
Equity prices are fully valued, suggesting low future returns. The Fed is cutting rates, yet long-term yields are rising along with inflation fears. The economy remains strong. Given all this, where do bonds fit in a portfolio? Is the 60/40 as we know it dead? ... Read More
Markets
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the K-Shaped Economy, Stubborn Sticky Inflation & Tariffs
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the K-Shaped Economy, Stubborn Sticky Inflation & Tariffs
Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the K-Shaped Economy, Stubborn Sticky Inflation & Tariffs with Charles Payne.... Read More
Markets
What Is Term Premium Telling Us?
What Is Term Premium Telling Us?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Is the rise in term premium a worrisome risk warning or a return to norms seen pre-QE?... Read More
Markets
SOFR Hits Upper End of Fed’s Range at Year-End
SOFR Hits Upper End of Fed’s Range at Year-End
Posted By Greg Blaha
SOFR rose above the top end of the Fed's target range for the second quarter-end in a row. Usage of the Fed's Standing Repo Facility remains low, however.... Read More
Markets
Update on Seasonality
Update on Seasonality
Posted By Jim Bianco
The beginning of the year is a good time to look at seasonality, both returns and volatility.... Read More
Markets
What is TLT Signaling?
What is TLT Signaling?
Posted By Jim Bianco
TLT's flows suggest bond traders are abandoning the long end of the yield curve. This is consistent with the idea that Fed cuts are raising inflation expectations.... Read More
Markets
Why the Market Is Signaling an Inflation Problem?
Why the Market Is Signaling an Inflation Problem?
Posted By Jim Bianco
The TIPS market and consumer surveys expect higher inflation levels in 2025. The bond market is responding with higher yields even though the Fed is cutting rates and sees more rate cuts into 2025.... Read More
Markets
Breaking Down Debt in the U.S.
Breaking Down Debt in the U.S.
A look at outstanding amounts of Treasuries, corporates, agencies, munis and open market paper... Read More
Markets
Comparing the Value of Credit in the U.S. to GDP
Comparing the Value of Credit in the U.S. to GDP
The amount of outstanding private credit in the U.S. experienced a brief decline during the financial crisis, but government debt grew throughout the entire period.... Read More
Markets
Funding Gaps at Public and Private Pensions
Funding Gaps at Public and Private Pensions
Private pension funds typically have much smaller funding gaps than their government counterparts.... Read More
Markets
Defined Benefit Plans vs. IRAs
Defined Benefit Plans vs. IRAs
Defined benefit plans continue to be replaced by IRAs and defined contribution plans.... Read More
Markets
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
Over the past couple decades, households' real estate equity and direct stock ownership have moved in lockstep.... Read More