Expectations for retail sales gains in 2018 are high and rising but outperformance is narrowly concentrated in a small slice of retail equities. U.S. search trends point to travel & recreation and home improvement as the two areas likely to sustain solid returns. ... Read More
Turkey woes are failing to show signs of contagion or elevating global risk. Opportunities will likely exist when systemic risk premiums eventually subside.... Read More
Soybean farmers face a dual threat of lost export demand and a record crop. But the political danger for Republicans may have passed as search interest in tariffs has shifted away from agriculturally focused swing states.... Read More
Our top posts from the week of August 6, 2018. ... Read More
Large speculators are at a net short extreme position in the 10-Year Treasury. ... Read More
U.K. residents are seeing some relief from high temperatures but the heat wave has had a real impact on consumers. Efforts to beat the heat accompanied a rebound in search traffic related to the energy sector. The outlook for U.K. equities is getting brighter. ... Read More
Today's topics include Charlie Evans, big data, Japanese Bond trading, the crisis in Turkey, currency and local stock market correlations, growth expectations, Chinese bonds. currency market volatility, corporate bonds, home prices, the trade war, why macroeconomics is hard, what worries investors and a new online prediction market. ... Read More
Data from the World Bank shows the huge divide that still exists between high income and low income countries.... Read More
Booming business has helped pipeline operators deliver on the performance but investors appear to be taking profits. ... Read More
A look at stock market turnover across different countries/regions... Read More
The number of multiple jobholders reaches a decade high. ... Read More
Emerging market central banks away from Latin America are keeping pace with developed economies. Nearly unanimous outflows from emerging markets have marked contrarian buy signals for the months ahead.... Read More
Our top posts from the week of July 30. ... Read More
Large speculators are at a net short extreme position in the 10-Year Treasury. ... Read More
A look at extreme and popular charts from this weeks CoT report. ... Read More
After a short-term peak in August, net Treasury issuance is expected to taper off into October before ramping sharply higher to $221 billion in December. The rising share of issuance to the belly of the curve will sustain a flattening bias. ... Read More
