Tag Archives: Markets

March 10, 2023

Markets

Do Banks Need to Raise Deposit Rates?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Bank deposit rates have been too low relative to other higher-yielding options. That was not a problem until depositors began to move money out of the banking system for these higher-yielding instruments. The fix - raising deposit rates - would hinder profitability.... Read More

Markets

Homeownership Slipping Away From Prospective First-Time Buyers
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Homebuyers enjoyed a relatively affordable market in the decade following the housing crash. The recent rise in prices and mortgage rates put homeownership out of reach for many prospective first-time buyers.... Read More

Markets

Cash Is No Longer Trash
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

There has been a notable shift in attitudes toward cash as rates continue higher and traditional investments such as equities and bonds have underperformed.... Read More

March 9, 2023

Markets

Understanding 0DTE Part 3: Intraday Mechanics
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Risk can not be destroyed, only transformed. Understanding the mechanics of 0DTE on an intraday basis can give insight into understanding risk in a new market envoirnment. ... Read More

March 8, 2023

Markets

Understanding 0DTE Part 2: Trading 0DTE
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

0DTE options have become a focus for market participants trying to understand where risk lies. Looking at the derivatives market and how these options are traded is a crucial first step. ... Read More

March 7, 2023

Markets

Latest on 2/10s Curve
Bespoke Commentary

Powell just finished, and here is the updated probability that the Fed will hike 50 next week. Go with the market probabilities, and you’ll be mistaken for Nostradamus. So much for the idea that nothing happens at these testimonies! The... Read More

March 3, 2023

Markets

The Housing Market’s Slowdown Continues
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Redfin's alternative measures of the housing market continue to show a slowdown in the crazy conditions of the last year.... Read More

February 22, 2023

Markets

Will the Bank of Japan End Yield Curve Control?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

10-year Japanese government bond yields are pushing against their 0.50% yield curve control ceiling again. Despite a 30-year high in inflation and rising wages, the Bank of Japan remains in a decades-long fight against deflation. Something has to give, the inflation data or yield curve control.... Read More

Markets

Australia’s End of Yield Curve Control
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Australia ended its yield curve control in 2021. The unwind serves as a warning for Japan and anyone else that wants to consider fighting economic or market forces.... Read More

February 21, 2023

Markets

A Big Change in Two Weeks
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Between the strong payroll report on February 2, the higher-than-expected inflation report on February 14, and the recent rise in used car prices, markets have repriced their expectations for Fed hikes significantly over the last two weeks. They now expected the Fed to hike above 5.25%, maybe as high as 6% by fall.... Read More

February 14, 2023

Markets

Things are on the move regarding the Fed…
Bespoke Commentary

So, the inflation rate gets to the high 2% or low 3% range by the release of the June report in July, then the base effect turns positive and inflation drifts up the rest of the year. To repeat, Powell could not be more clear, he is not raising the target rate above 2%. So the Fed keeps hiking beyond 5.25% to get to "sufficiently restrictive."... Read More

February 10, 2023

Markets

Real Vision: Shifting Work Patterns
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Jim interviewed "Rethinking Real Estate" author Dror Poleg for the Real Vision platform. Dror explains how technology is reshaping the real estate industry and predicts the reshuffle of work, cities, and homes brought on by the Covid-19 pandemic.... Read More

Markets

Options Volume Surging Again
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

As market participants embrace what may or may not be a new bull market, retail traders and institutions alike are piling back into the options markets, driving volume to historical levels. ... Read More

February 6, 2023

Markets

It’s a “Post-Pandemic” Economy/Labor Market!
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Economists still use their pre-Covid models and understanding of the economy/labor market. This is leading to confusion and errant forecasts. It's time to start thinking about new models and understanding for the "post-Covid" economy.... Read More

February 4, 2023

Markets

CoT Data: No Data Due To A Cyber Attack
Posted By Jim Bianco | Commitment of Traders

The UK futures derivative exchange ION was hit by a ransomware attack shutting down its systems. ION is a significant enough exchange that the CFTC decided to delay the CoT report this week because too much data would be missing. ... Read More

January 30, 2023

Markets

What Will Powell Say This Week?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The Fed sees more work to be done on the battle against inflation and is likely to push back on the easing of financial conditions. But how? They are almost done hiking.... Read More

January 27, 2023

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our recent COT report. ... Read More

Markets

The Government’s Rising Interest Costs
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

For the last few decades we have been in a low interest rate environment where deficit spending would not cause major issues. However, a 40-year high in inflation prompted the Fed to tighten monetary policy at a fast pace. Higher rates mean the cost of servicing U.S. debt will follow higher. ... Read More

Markets

Transitioning From Eurodollars to SOFR
Posted By Jim Bianco | Charts of the Week

As part of the planned transition away from LIBOR, the CME will convert any remaining Eurodollar positions to SOFR positions on April 14. SOFR futures recently surpassed Eurodollar futures as the world's largest interest rate futures contract.... Read More

Markets

Updating ARK Innovation’s Performance
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Flows follow performance, except for when they don't. Cathie Wood's investors seem willing to ride out market losses even as they have lost over 60% of their investment in just over a year. ... Read More

Do Banks Need to Raise Deposit Rates? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Homeownership Slipping Away From Prospective First-Time Buyers Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Cash Is No Longer Trash Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Understanding 0DTE Part 3: Intraday Mechanics Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Understanding 0DTE Part 2: Trading 0DTE Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Latest on 2/10s Curve Bespoke Commentary

The Housing Market’s Slowdown Continues Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Will the Bank of Japan End Yield Curve Control? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Australia’s End of Yield Curve Control Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

A Big Change in Two Weeks Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Things are on the move regarding the Fed… Bespoke Commentary

Real Vision: Shifting Work Patterns Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Options Volume Surging Again Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

It’s a “Post-Pandemic” Economy/Labor Market! Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

CoT Data: No Data Due To A Cyber Attack Posted By Jim Bianco | Commitment of Traders

What Will Powell Say This Week? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Extreme and Popular Charts COT Update

The Government’s Rising Interest Costs Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Transitioning From Eurodollars to SOFR Posted By Jim Bianco | Charts of the Week

Updating ARK Innovation’s Performance Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Do Banks Need to Raise Deposit Rates?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Homeownership Slipping Away From Prospective First-Time Buyers
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Cash Is No Longer Trash
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Understanding 0DTE Part 3: Intraday Mechanics
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Understanding 0DTE Part 2: Trading 0DTE
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Latest on 2/10s Curve
Bespoke Commentary

The Housing Market’s Slowdown Continues
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Will the Bank of Japan End Yield Curve Control?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Australia’s End of Yield Curve Control
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

A Big Change in Two Weeks
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Things are on the move regarding the Fed…
Bespoke Commentary

Real Vision: Shifting Work Patterns
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Options Volume Surging Again
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

It’s a “Post-Pandemic” Economy/Labor Market!
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

CoT Data: No Data Due To A Cyber Attack
Posted By Jim Bianco | Commitment of Traders

What Will Powell Say This Week?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

The Government’s Rising Interest Costs
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Transitioning From Eurodollars to SOFR
Posted By Jim Bianco | Charts of the Week

Updating ARK Innovation’s Performance
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week