Tag Archives: Markets

August 26, 2024

Markets

You’re Only as Good as Your Weakest Assumption
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

At Jackson Hole Chairman Powell said, "The time has come" to start cutting rates. He expressed concern about the labor market. However, the labor market has undergone epic changes post-pandemic, and interpreting its data is very complicated. A credible case can be made that the labor market is still robust, and stimulating the economy could produce more inflation.... Read More

August 23, 2024

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our recent COT report. ... Read More

Markets

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Chairman Powell’s Speech, the Economy & Labor Market
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Fed Chairman Powell?s Speech, the Economy & Labor Market with Charles Payne.... Read More

Markets

Jim Bianco joins CNBC to discuss Chairman Powell’s Speech and the U.S. Economy
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins CNBC to recap Chairman Powell?s Speech and the Economy with Sara Eisen and Carl Quintanilla.... Read More

Markets

Housing Becomes Less Affordable for First-Time Homebuyers
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Homebuyers enjoyed a relatively affordable market in the decade following the housing crash. The recent rise in prices and mortgage rates put homeownership out of reach for many prospective first-time buyers.... Read More

Markets

Peering at Today’s Market Through the Asset Bubble Lens
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Given the recent selloff in markets, we update market valuations through the lens of common bubble characteristics. ... Read More

August 21, 2024

Markets

Why Retail Sales and Consumption Is Staying Strong
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Recessions and crises change behavior. Government stimulus checks mailed during the pandemic told consumers they don't need to save as much. This is driving strong consumption and retail sales, keeping economic growth above potential. Such an economy does not need rate cuts.... Read More

August 16, 2024

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our recent COT report. ... Read More

August 12, 2024

Markets

Jim Bianco looks at the sustained impact of the Yen carry trade unwinding with Oliver Renick
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco? is looking for a "sense of stability" in the market ahead of this week's key inflation data. And, following last week's volatile market swings, Bianco weighs in on the state of the yen-carry trade. ... Read More

August 9, 2024

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our recent COT report. ... Read More

Markets

Why Is RRP Falling?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Money parked in the Federal Reserve's reverse repo facility is shrinking again as money fund managers extend maturity to hold onto 5%+ yield as long as possible. This move is being driven by the belief that the Fed is finally going to start cutting rates, not some ominous sign that the financial system's plumbing is at risk.... Read More

August 8, 2024

Markets

Conference Call Replay & Notes – Is Volatility Being Driven By Financial or Economic Factors?
Bespoke Commentary

Financial market volatility has spiked in the last few weeks. We argue this has been driven more by financial stress around the Bank of Japan?s surprise rate hike last week than the prospect of the economy sinking into recession.... Read More

Markets

Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Today's topics include has the Yen carry trade been completely unwound?, the odds of another BoJ rate hike, the odds of an emergency Fed rate cut, a soft landing, checking in on sentiment after a rocky week, a lack of liquidity, a historical look at stocks after the VIX spikes, the moral hazard facing central banks, tech valuations, covered call ETFs, searching for neutral, and OPEC's price targets... Read More

August 7, 2024

Markets

Jim Bianco discusses Recent Market Volatility, Mixed Economic Signals & Bond Market Liquidity
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Recent Market Volatility, Mixed Economic Signals & Bond Market Liquidity with Charles Payne.... Read More

Markets

How Stressed Are Markets?
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Monday's selloff in equities and massive bond rally indicated that, after minimal volatility so far in 2024, the interconnectedness of global markets poses upside risks to volatility.... Read More

August 6, 2024

Markets

Tracking the Unwind
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

JP Morgan suggests the speculative carry trade is only half unwound. The exchange rate between the yen and peso is one market to monitor closely.... Read More

August 5, 2024

Markets

Are These Markets Financially or Economically Driven?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Not all sharp moves in financial markets are driven by rapid changes in the economic outlook. Unexpected changes in the financial structure of the markets can also force repricing. The most recent move in the markets has been driven by the Bank of Japan's larger-than-expected hike last week, leading to a subsequent unwind of the yen carry trade.... Read More

August 2, 2024

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Some highlights from our most recent COT report... Read More

Markets

The TBAC Tweaks Its Stance on T-Bill Issuance
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

As part of this week's Quarterly Refunding Announcement, the TBAC conducted a study on the optimal level of T-bill issuance as a percentage of total Treasury issuance.... Read More

July 31, 2024

Markets

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Soft vs No Landing, Employment Data & the Market Rotation
In the Media, Media Appearances

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the difference between a Soft and No Landing, various employment data & the current stock market rotation with Charles Payne.... Read More

You’re Only as Good as Your Weakest Assumption Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Housing Becomes Less Affordable for First-Time Homebuyers Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Peering at Today’s Market Through the Asset Bubble Lens Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Why Retail Sales and Consumption Is Staying Strong Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Why Is RRP Falling? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Quick Comments/What We’re Reading Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

How Stressed Are Markets? Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Tracking the Unwind Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Are These Markets Financially or Economically Driven? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The TBAC Tweaks Its Stance on T-Bill Issuance Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Soft vs No Landing, Employment Data & the Market Rotation In the Media, Media Appearances

You’re Only as Good as Your Weakest Assumption
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Housing Becomes Less Affordable for First-Time Homebuyers
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Peering at Today’s Market Through the Asset Bubble Lens
Posted By Alex Malitas | Charts of the Week

Why Retail Sales and Consumption Is Staying Strong
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Why Is RRP Falling?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Quick Comments/What We’re Reading
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

How Stressed Are Markets?
Posted By Alex Malitas | Featured, Newsclips

Tracking the Unwind
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Are These Markets Financially or Economically Driven?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The TBAC Tweaks Its Stance on T-Bill Issuance
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Soft vs No Landing, Employment Data & the Market Rotation
In the Media, Media Appearances