Tag Archives: Markets

September 13, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 13th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: Top forecasters on core CPI see a slight miss at 0.2% MoM (vs est 0.3%). Another big release in CPI, yet bond investors show little to no fear! US Treasury implied volatility (via swaptions here 1m X 10y)... Read More

September 10, 2021

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Highlights from our most recent COT report... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 10th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: PPI remains ultra-high on a rolling 3-month annualized basis, rivalling levels last seen in the early 1980s. But! Commodity prices tracked by PPI have begun to abate to a 3-month annualized pace of 16%. The % of commodities... Read More

September 9, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 9th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: It’s ‘the olds’ who continue to have the largest right-side tail for inflation expectations. 46% of those aged 55 or more see 5+% YoY headline inflation over the year ahead. Greg Blaha: The Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations... Read More

Markets

Has Delta Peaked?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

Daily COVID cases appear to be peaking both in the United States and globally.... Read More

September 8, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 8th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Three Big Secular Shifts Thursday, September 9, at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT and 15:00 BST) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a client webinar/teleconference moderated by Jim Bianco. It... Read More

September 7, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 7th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss the COVID-19 Reopening and the Effect on the Market Ben Breitholtz: Investors creating a stronger and stronger floor for headline CPI within the eurozone at 1.5% YoY. Also now pricing in a 30%... Read More

Markets

More on Work-From-Home – A Secular Shift?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

We continue to believe the pandemic caused a secular shift toward work-from-home. The old models of how the labor force reacts to pay and working conditions have changed. This will lead to more "persistent" inflation.... Read More

September 3, 2021

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Highlights from our most recent COT report... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 3rd, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg to discuss the Federal Reserve, Labor Market and the Delta Variant Ben Breitholtz: As foretold, the gap between US and German 10-year inflation breakevens is closing with recent range lows giving way. Investors pricing in a... Read More

Markets

Mobility Check: Seasonality, Ida, or Delta?
Posted By Alex Malitas | Newsclips

To get a clearer picture of the slowdown in mobility, a deep dive into the data is necessary. Distinguishing between seasonal factors, Hurricane Ida, and the delta variant is a difficult task.... Read More

Markets

SPAC Activity Plummets
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

After the SEC suggested SPAC warrants should be considered liabilities instead of equity, SPAC activity came to a screeching halt.... Read More

September 2, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 2nd, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: Citi has monthly inflation surprise indices. Since today is the first they updated the August data. The data only goes back to 2009. This chart shows how “flat-footed” the economic community was when it comes to predicting inflation. ... Read More

September 1, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – September 1st, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: ADP was a huge miss. The estimate was 625k (median) with a range of 400k to 850k, 34 economists offered guesses. The actual result was 374k, below the lowest guess. Warning! ADP has not been a good indicator of... Read More

August 31, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – August 31st, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: US Latest But note that the cases from the south, including FL and TX, peaked on August 16 (orange line) But in the other 44 states, CV made a new high, and the rolling 7-day average (orange) continues... Read More

August 30, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – August 30th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz: The ‘EVERYTHING RALLY’ is now the longest on record! The average Sharpe ratio across the spectrum of assets has been above 1-to-1 for 270 straight trading days. Such tightly packed risk-adjusted returns have only occurred ahead of the... Read More

August 27, 2021

Markets

Extreme and Popular Charts
COT Update

Highlights from our most recent COT report... Read More

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – August 27th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco: *BIDEN ADVISERS EYE POWELL AS FED CHAIR, BRAINARD AS VICE CHAIR *BIDEN SEEN MAKING FED PERSONNEL ANNOUNCEMENTS LATER IN FALL *PAIRING POWELL AND BRAINARD COULD APPEASE LIBERAL DEMOCRATS Bloomberg: Biden Advisers Weigh Powell as Fed Chair, Brainard as... Read More

August 26, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – August 26th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Ben Breitholtz joins Oliver Renick to discuss the seasonality of inflation and how it affects the different areas of the market, and he shares one key metric that will ultimately decide how high inflation goes. Financial Times: Jay Powell must... Read More

August 25, 2021

Markets

Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research and Arbor Data Science – August 25th, 2021
Bespoke Commentary

Jim Bianco joins Bloomberg’s “The Open” on 8/25/21 Alex Malitas: https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2021/08/22/the-new-powell-doctrine?utm_campaign=editorial-social&utm_medium=social-organic&utm_source=twitter Ben Breitholtz: Isn’t this the same debate we’ve seen since 2009?! This is one way to do it! *DELTA AIR LINES TO IMPOSE $200/MO FEE ON UNVACCINATED EMPLOYEES We... Read More

Has Delta Peaked? Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

More on Work-From-Home – A Secular Shift? Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Mobility Check: Seasonality, Ida, or Delta? Posted By Alex Malitas | Newsclips

SPAC Activity Plummets Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week

Has Delta Peaked?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Newsclips

More on Work-From-Home – A Secular Shift?
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Mobility Check: Seasonality, Ida, or Delta?
Posted By Alex Malitas | Newsclips

SPAC Activity Plummets
Posted By Greg Blaha | Charts of the Week