Tag Archives: Markets
The Stock Market in 2021 Part 1 – The Narrow Rally
Posted By Jim Bianco
Last year's stock market rally was one of the narrowest ever seen. It was driven by the largest stocks in the S&P 500, with five stocks having a heavy influence on returns. Mid-cap, small-cap, and stock markets outside the U.S. failed to beat inflation.... Read More
The Stock Market in 2021 Part 2 – Excess Savings
Posted By Jim Bianco
2021 was marked by excess savings flowing into index funds and a few large stocks producing outsized returns. The further away one got from these themes, the worse they did.... Read More
The Most Volatile Day of the Year?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Historically the first trading day of the year is volatile for a range of assets.... Read More
The Omicron Spike Gets the Attention of Economists
Posted By Jim Bianco
As Omicron cases surge worldwide, several million lost workdays are piling up. This will lead to a slowing of production and the supply chain, but not a similar loss of demand. The result will be more upward pressure on inflation.... Read More
Comparing the Value of Credit in the U.S. to GDP
The amount of outstanding private credit in the U.S. experienced a brief decline during the financial crisis, but government debt grew throughout the entire period. Both are now at new highs.... Read More
Breaking Down Debt in the U.S.
A look at outstanding amounts of Treasuries, corporates, agencies, munis and open market paper... Read More
Funding Gaps at Public and Private Pensions
Private pension funds have much smaller funding gaps than their government counterparts.... Read More
Defined Benefit Plans Continue to Shrink
Defined benefit plans continue to be replaced by IRAs and defined contribution plans.... Read More
Comparing Real Estate to GDP and Stock Ownership
A home may be the biggest purchase most people make in their lives, but households' home equity is actually surpassed by households' direct stock ownership.... Read More
69% of GDP Is Due to Personal Consumption
Personal consumption continues to make up a larger portion of U.S. GDP as time progresses.... Read More
Over 46% of FDIC Deposits Are Uninsured
Over 46% of FDIC deposits in the U.S. are uninsured.... Read More
Interpreting the Bond Market
Posted By Jim Bianco
We believe the bond market is signaling a high likelihood that the Fed ends up breaking either the markets or the economy.... Read More
Does the Fed Have a Choice?
Posted By Jim Bianco
For the last 13 years, whenever the economy or markets got wobbly, the Fed would inject massive accommodation and a recovery would ensue. This was possible because inflation never materialized. That?s not the case now.... Read More
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research – December 17th, 2021
The replay of the Bianco Research December 16, 2021 conference call titled What Does The Fed Do Now? can be found here. Jim Bianco: This is a 3-day tick chart of the S&P 500. It has now completely reversed the Powell rally from... Read More
Omicron Update
Posted By Jim Bianco
Case counts continue to rise and more economic restrictions are being put in place.... Read More
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research – December 16th, 2021
The replay of the Bianco Research December 16, 2021 conference call titled What Does The Fed Do Now? can be found here. Jim Bianco joins Fox Business to discuss Inflation, the Omicron Variant & Congress Stock Trading Jim Bianco: Another... Read More
Bespoke Commentary from Bianco Research – December 15th, 2021
Bianco Research Conference Call: What Does The Fed Do Now? Thursday, December 16, at 9:00 AM CT (10:00 AM ET, 7:00 AM PT and 15:00 GMT) Bianco Research, in conjunction with Arbor Research & Trading, will be hosting a client webinar/teleconference... Read More