Tag Archives: Markets

Markets

Bianco Research Conference Call Replay & Notes: You’re Only as Good as Your Weakest Assumption

At Jackson Hole, Chairman Powell said, ?The time has come? to cut rates. He expressed concern about the labor market and suggested inflation has been defeated. However, the labor market has undergone epic changes post-pandemic and interpreting inflation data is very complicated. A credible case can be made that the labor market is still robust and inflation is bottoming around 3%. Stimulating such an economy could produce more inflation.... Read More

Markets

Why Is RRP Falling?

Money parked in the Federal Reserve's reverse repo facility is shrinking again as money fund managers extend maturity to hold onto 5%+ yield as long as possible. This move is being driven by the belief that the Fed is finally going to start cutting rates, not some ominous sign that the financial system's plumbing is at risk.... Read More

Markets

Quick Comments/What We’re Reading

Today's topics include has the Yen carry trade been completely unwound?, the odds of another BoJ rate hike, the odds of an emergency Fed rate cut, a soft landing, checking in on sentiment after a rocky week, a lack of liquidity, a historical look at stocks after the VIX spikes, the moral hazard facing central banks, tech valuations, covered call ETFs, searching for neutral, and OPEC's price targets... Read More