Although house prices have risen markedly in the past six months, a few cities across the U.S. have yet to regain their pre-2006 levels in home prices.... Read More
While the pace of vaccinations is ramping up across the globe, these programs are still in their early stages. Israel should provide the first real data point on herd immunity goals. Infection rates are peaking, but this may be due to weather changes more than vaccinations.... Read More
Two conclusions can be true at once. The market can be exhibiting signs of mania. At the same time, this new group is disrupting Wall Street and not going away. Similar disruptions happened in newspaper, taxi, hotel, retail, and communication industries. Now the financial markets appear to be taking their turn.... Read More
Why the Treasury is borrowing much less this quarter and why borrowing might boom this summer... Read More
Many experienced financial professionals are warning the retail revolters that this will end in tears. We share this sentiment as well. But we are not yet sure which group will bear the brunt of the losses.... Read More
Retail investors continue to set new options volume records and many stocks are undergoing a short squeeze.... Read More
Lower interest rates helped increase the Fed's remittances to the Treasury in 2020.... Read More
As existing home prices continue to trend higher, new home prices have stalled out over the last few years.... Read More
The latest charts on vaccinations and COVID... Read More
Why is the GS Non-Profitable Tech Stock Index going parabolic? Look at the way retail investors deploy their money.... Read More
The cryptocurrency universe briefly surpassed $1 trillion in market value. Over 83% of this is in Bitcoin and Ethereum.... Read More
Elon Musk recently became the wealthiest person in the world. Zhong Shanshan continues to climb the list at an extraordinary clip, overtaking Warren Buffett to become the sixth richest person in the world.... Read More
If the 2020 economy was defined by what letter would best describe the rebound, 2021 will be about reflation versus inflation. ... Read More
How do strong momentum markets end? Too much money comes in at the end. The average investor's breakeven is so high that a typical correction wipes out any profit. As they exit, the momentum trade goes into reverse.... Read More
As booming raw industrial commodity prices point to higher nominal growth expectations in 2021, the dynamic between real growth and inflation will be a major influence on the returns of risk assets. Risk assets do not perform well when inflation is accelerating. We have not seen that in a generation. Our fear is inflation may rear its head in 2021.... Read More