Tag Archives: Markets
Weekly Digest: January 14, 2019 – January 18, 2019
Our top posts from the week of January 14, 2019. ... Read More
Why Did Banks’ Fixed Income Trading Suffer in Q4?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Despite a rally in most fixed income assets in Q4 2018, FICC trading at many of the major U.S. banks suffered. Could a persistent bearishness on bonds have led to these results?... Read More
Revisiting the Stock/Bond Relationship
Posted By Jim Bianco
We continue to see a regime shift in the relationship between stocks and bonds.... Read More
Investors Reward Low Leverage in Rising Rate Environment
Posted By Greg Blaha
With rates on the rise, investors are rewarding stocks of companies with low leverage.... Read More
PG&E and “Fallen Angels”
Posted By Greg Blaha
PG&E's downgrade to junk status puts the utility company at risk of joining the list of fallen angels - assuming they don't declare bankruptcy first.... Read More
Who Are the 2020 Leaders?
Posted By Jim Bianco
Which candidates are expected to run for President in 2020? Who will control the House and Senate?... Read More
High Yield Index Trading, The Hedge Keeps Working
Posted By Jim Bianco
Traders continue to use the high yield index market as a hedge rather than trading the underlying bonds. This is a strategy that works while liquidity exists, but could pose serious problems in volatile markets.... Read More
Conference Call Thursday – Are We out of the Woods?
Join us for our conference call on January 10, 2019 at 9 AM CT.... Read More
Brexit Uncertainty Risks Hurting the UK
Posted By Jim Bianco
No one seems to know what to make of Brexit. A resolution is badly needed as the UK economy is at risk of grinding to a halt.... Read More
Investment Grade and High Yield Diverge
Posted By Jim Bianco
Price and volume between investment grade and high yield are diverging in ways not seen in years. This represents a risk for high yield moreso than investment grade.... Read More
The Fed Finally “Gets It”
Posted By Jim Bianco
The Fed made a mistake in being overly hawkish as the economy turned south. It took three weeks of wild market volatility before they altered their stance. In taking so long to change their tune, the Fed added to an already decelerating economy.... Read More
An Update to the COT Release Schedule
The CFTC recently announced it will release its COT report each Friday and Tuesday until the data is caught up from the government shutdown.... Read More
The Market and the Fed Are on Different Pages
Posted By Jim Bianco
For the first time in 11 years, the markets are closer to pricing in a rate cut than a rate hike. The Fed is still talking about rate hikes and balance sheet reductions. We cannot find a historical example of the markets and the Fed being on such different pages. It sets up a dangerous situation for the Fed to navigate.... Read More
Tough to Find Positive Returns in 2018
Posted By Greg Blaha
2018 proved to be a difficult year to find a decent return as cash beat every major asset class. In fact, since 1926, only a few other years offered a worse asset allocation environment.... Read More
Soft Data Turning Down?
Posted By Jim Bianco
If recent market volatility continues, we would expect soft surveys to continue to show signs of weakness. If they all continue moving lower in unison, it may give the Fed all the more reason to reconsider any further rate hikes.... Read More
Companies With Low Insider Ownership Outperformed in 2018
Posted By Greg Blaha
Don't assume companies with higher insider ownership are a better investment than those without management's buy-in.... Read More
Over Half of U.S. Investment Grade Debt Is Now BBB-Rated
Posted By Greg Blaha
Over half of all investment grade debt is now BBB-rated.... Read More
Comparing State Muni Yields and Total Returns
Posted By Greg Blaha
Illinois lays claim to the highest state muni yield. It has also produced the best returns since the end of 2016.... Read More