Tag Archives: Monthly Reports

September 6, 2024

Employment in Pictures – Enough to Dictate a 50 Basis Point Cut?
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

The jobs report missed estimates slightly. Downward revisions to the past couple months were more substantial. However, wage growth ticked higher. Traders did not see the data as bad enough to definitively dictate a 50 basis point rate cut at the September FOMC meeting.... Read More

September 3, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – The Fall of the Yen Carry Trade
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

The yen carry trade was a hugely profitable trade throughout the post-pandemic period. Over the past three months, however, it lost almost 52%.... Read More

August 30, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Passive Funds Continue to Grow
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Passive ETFs and mutual funds make up over half of all fund assets. Active managers have voiced their concern.... Read More

August 14, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Will the Fed Cut 25 or 50 in September?
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

July's inflation data came in right at expectations. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, fell for the third month in a row. Nothing from this morning's release did much to change traders' thinking about future Fed cuts, which makes sense considering the BLS will release one more CPI report before the next FOMC meeting.... Read More

August 2, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – Sahm Rule Triggered
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

The jobs report raises fears of a serious economic slowdown, if not a recession. These fears are overblown. That said, we expect the Fed to respond with rate cuts.... Read More

August 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Small Cap Stocks’ Day in the Sun
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Small-cap stocks have enjoyed their day in the sun as expectations for a Fed rate-cutting campaign grow.... Read More

July 31, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Massive Inflows Into Small Cap ETFs
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Small cap ETFs brought in over $12 billion in July on hopes of imminent rate cuts.... Read More

July 25, 2024

Monthly Reports

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

A look at the size of various markets compared to the U.S. economy... Read More

July 11, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – A Deflationary Month
Featured, Newsclips

Headline CPI posted its first deflationary month in four years. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, fell for the second month in a row. The markets have further cemented their expectation for a September rate cut.... Read More

July 5, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – A Slight Beat
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

This morning's payrolls release beat expectations by a slim margin. Traders have not changed their expectations for future rate cuts based on this data.... Read More

July 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Stocks & Bonds at the Halfway Point of 2024
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Stocks outperformed bonds by a wide margin in the first half of 2024.... Read More

June 28, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Allocators & Traders
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Differentiating 'allocator' ETF flows from 'trader' ETF flows... Read More

June 12, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Supercore Finally Declines
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Year-over-year inflation came in below expectations in May. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, fell for the first time in seven months. The markets have now put the September meeting back in play, pricing in almost 70% odds of a cut at that FOMC meeting.... Read More

June 7, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – Another Beat on the Books
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

This morning's payroll number beat estimates of around 185k. This marks 24 of the last 29 months that the initial payroll release has beaten Wall Street estimates.... Read More

June 3, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Tech Continues to Dominate
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

U.S. stocks have handily outperformed stocks from the rest of the world since the beginning of 2023, largely on the back of the Magnificent Seven.... Read More

May 31, 2024

Monthly Reports

Monthly Fund Flows – Money Market Inflows Returned After Tax Season
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Retail money market funds saw outflows while U.S. citizens paid taxes, but inflows returned in May.... Read More

May 15, 2024

Monthly Reports

Inflation Watch – Nothing That Will Move the Fed’s Needle
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Year-over-year inflation came in right at expectations in April. Supercore inflation, a measure closely watched by the Fed, rose for a sixth straight month. The data is unlikely to move the needle much one way or another in the Fed's mind, so any Fedspeak will likely kick the can down the road until the next CPI release.... Read More

May 3, 2024

Monthly Reports

Employment in Pictures – A Rare Payrolls Miss
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Payrolls missed estimates for the first time since October 2023. Fed funds traders are now pricing in two rate cuts by year-end.... Read More

May 1, 2024

Monthly Reports

Total Return Review – Cocoa’s Wild Swings & the Continuation of the Bond Bear Market
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Cocoa prices saw some of their wildest swings on record, only to finish the month almost unchanged. Bonds' slide in April have them once again tracking some of their worst YTD total returns on record.... Read More

April 25, 2024

Monthly Reports

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

A look at the size of various markets compared to the U.S. economy... Read More

Employment in Pictures – Enough to Dictate a 50 Basis Point Cut? Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – The Fall of the Yen Carry Trade Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Passive Funds Continue to Grow Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Will the Fed Cut 25 or 50 in September? Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Sahm Rule Triggered Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Small Cap Stocks’ Day in the Sun Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Massive Inflows Into Small Cap ETFs Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – A Deflationary Month Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – A Slight Beat Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Total Return Review – Stocks & Bonds at the Halfway Point of 2024 Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Allocators & Traders Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Supercore Finally Declines Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Another Beat on the Books Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Tech Continues to Dominate Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Money Market Inflows Returned After Tax Season Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Nothing That Will Move the Fed’s Needle Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – A Rare Payrolls Miss Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Cocoa’s Wild Swings & the Continuation of the Bond Bear Market Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Enough to Dictate a 50 Basis Point Cut?
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – The Fall of the Yen Carry Trade
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Passive Funds Continue to Grow
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Will the Fed Cut 25 or 50 in September?
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Sahm Rule Triggered
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Small Cap Stocks’ Day in the Sun
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Massive Inflows Into Small Cap ETFs
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – A Deflationary Month
Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – A Slight Beat
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Total Return Review – Stocks & Bonds at the Halfway Point of 2024
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Allocators & Traders
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Supercore Finally Declines
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – Another Beat on the Books
Posted By Jim Bianco | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Tech Continues to Dominate
Posted By Greg Blaha | Newsclips

Monthly Fund Flows – Money Market Inflows Returned After Tax Season
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Inflation Watch – Nothing That Will Move the Fed’s Needle
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Employment in Pictures – A Rare Payrolls Miss
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Total Return Review – Cocoa’s Wild Swings & the Continuation of the Bond Bear Market
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips

Market Capitalization as a Percentage of GDP
Posted By Greg Blaha | Featured, Newsclips