Sanders's chances of being the Democrat nominee are increasing. Trump is having the best week of his presidency from an approval standpoint.... Read More
As we await the final Iowa caucus results, the betting markets are offering clues about how things are going to shake out. Sanders was damaged but is still leading for the overall nomination. Biden in big trouble. Is a brokered convention coming? Trump's odds of winning the general election are at new highs.... Read More
The Iowa caucus takes place today. Sanders is the favorite among bettors while poll watchers and election forecasters see Biden as the favorite.... Read More
The process of choosing a Democrat nominee begins Monday with the Iowa caucus. The betting market thinks it is Bernie Sanders's nomination to lose. Nate Silver disagrees.... Read More
Bernie Sanders is leading the betting markets and polling for Iowa (February 3) and New Hampshire (February 11). He also is polling at his highest levels ever for the overall nomination, but still trails Biden. The betting markets expect Sanders to win the first three contests, which is why bettors now think he is the favorite for the nomination.... Read More
Roughly two weeks before the Iowa caucus kicks off primary voting season, polls are shifting in Biden's favor. Sanders still leads the betting markets.... Read More
Last night was the final Democrat debate before the Iowa caucus. Today the House is expected to vote to send the articles of impeachment to the Senate.... Read More
As the year gets underway, the betting markets see the odds of a Trump re-election as a coin toss, while the odds of impeachment are extremely low. Biden leads for the Democrat nomination, but Sanders seems to have some momentum.... Read More
Joe Biden still leads the betting markets for the Democrat nomination, but Bernie Sanders holds the edge in the first couple primaries.... Read More
Trump?s approval rating rose to a 2.5-year high in the wake of the impeachment vote.... Read More
With roughly one year to go before the election, the betting markets see Biden as the leader for the Democrat nomination. History suggests this race is far from over, however.... Read More
Going into tonight's Democrat debate, Bernie Sanders is surging in both the betting markets and polls. If he is not the front-runner today, he is very close to it.... Read More
Passing articles of impeachment without a majority of the country's backing risks a backlash. Trump's surging approval rating appears to be the result. It is quite possible today's impeachment vote will not result in Trump's removal, but rather could help his chance at re-election.... Read More
Impeachment proceedings, Trump's approval rating, and the Democrat nomination process all have the potential to move markets. We detail their latest standings.... Read More
Now that the Democrats have released their report on the impeachment hearings, how have polls and bettors responded?... Read More
Kamala Harris dropped out of the election yesterday, adding to an unusually volatile pre-primary season in which many candidates exited before the Iowa primary. Bettors continue to price the presidential race as a coin toss between Trump and the unnamed Democrat.... Read More
An update on the race for the Democrat nomination, including a new sortable table to track candidate's odds at the upcoming primaries... Read More
The impeachment hearings ended and Congress is on recess until early December. Polls show waning support for impeachment, while betting markets continue to expect an impeachment without Trump actually being removed from office.... Read More
In the wake of Wednesday's Democrat debate, the betting markets show Pete Buttigieg's odds continue to surge. According to bettors, he continues to lead in the Iowa and New Hampshire primaries and has passed Joe Biden into second place for the overall nomination.... Read More
Today is arguably the most important day in the impeachment hearings, with European Union Ambassador Gordon Sondland testifying. Below we track the odds of Trump's impeachment according to the latest polls and betting market trading.... Read More