The South Carolina debate is tonight. Bloomberg and Biden will attempt to stop Bernie Sanders from running away with the nomination.... Read More
In tonight's Democrat debate, Michael Bloomberg will be on the stage for the first time. It comes as "The Bloomberg Boomlet" is showing signs of peaking while Sanders's momentum continues to build. If Bloomberg still has a chance, it has to start tonight.... Read More
Using cable news coverage as a gauge of concern/interest, we find complacency is setting in about the Covid-19. This may suggest little financial market downside has been discounted.... Read More
Wuhan underwent the largest quarantine in human history. The data suggests it might not have been successful. The rest of the world is now approaching a similar position to Wuhan when it implemented its ban on travel and contact.... Read More
For now, the Democrats are expected to hold the House. That being said, this is expected to be a closer race than the 2018 midterm election.... Read More
Sanders has established himself as the undisputed leader for the democrat nomination. Second place, for now, appears to be a brokered convention.... Read More
As voters go to the polls in New Hampshire, Sanders is expected to win. However, many eyes will be on Biden. Another poor finish could deal a serious blow to his campaign.... Read More
Sanders's chances of being the Democrat nominee are increasing. Trump is having the best week of his presidency from an approval standpoint.... Read More
As we await the final Iowa caucus results, the betting markets are offering clues about how things are going to shake out. Sanders was damaged but is still leading for the overall nomination. Biden in big trouble. Is a brokered convention coming? Trump's odds of winning the general election are at new highs.... Read More
The Iowa caucus takes place today. Sanders is the favorite among bettors while poll watchers and election forecasters see Biden as the favorite.... Read More
The process of choosing a Democrat nominee begins Monday with the Iowa caucus. The betting market thinks it is Bernie Sanders's nomination to lose. Nate Silver disagrees.... Read More
Bernie Sanders is leading the betting markets and polling for Iowa (February 3) and New Hampshire (February 11). He also is polling at his highest levels ever for the overall nomination, but still trails Biden. The betting markets expect Sanders to win the first three contests, which is why bettors now think he is the favorite for the nomination.... Read More
Roughly two weeks before the Iowa caucus kicks off primary voting season, polls are shifting in Biden's favor. Sanders still leads the betting markets.... Read More
Last night was the final Democrat debate before the Iowa caucus. Today the House is expected to vote to send the articles of impeachment to the Senate.... Read More
As the year gets underway, the betting markets see the odds of a Trump re-election as a coin toss, while the odds of impeachment are extremely low. Biden leads for the Democrat nomination, but Sanders seems to have some momentum.... Read More
Joe Biden still leads the betting markets for the Democrat nomination, but Bernie Sanders holds the edge in the first couple primaries.... Read More
Trump?s approval rating rose to a 2.5-year high in the wake of the impeachment vote.... Read More
With roughly one year to go before the election, the betting markets see Biden as the leader for the Democrat nomination. History suggests this race is far from over, however.... Read More
Going into tonight's Democrat debate, Bernie Sanders is surging in both the betting markets and polls. If he is not the front-runner today, he is very close to it.... Read More
Passing articles of impeachment without a majority of the country's backing risks a backlash. Trump's surging approval rating appears to be the result. It is quite possible today's impeachment vote will not result in Trump's removal, but rather could help his chance at re-election.... Read More