Another Democrat debate takes place tonight. Where do the candidates' odds stand going into it?... Read More
Public impeachment hearings begin today. Betting markets and polls see Trump getting impeached, but not removed from office. The public hearings will likely sway these numbers.... Read More
The polls and betting markets continue to turn against Elizabeth Warren. Pete Buttigieg is gaining the most ground.... Read More
Trump held true on his promise to cut regulations when he took office in 2016. In the past couple years, however, the number of pages in the Federal Register have slowly crept higher.... Read More
In this week's weekly political update, we focus on the political polls.... Read More
What looked like a Warren nomination just several days ago now looks more like a wide-open race.... Read More
The polls and betting markets suggest a different candidate may win each of the first three Democrat primaries. Warren leads in Iowa, Sanders leads in New Hampshire and Biden leads in South Carolina. Interestingly, the candidate with the most momentum is Pete Buttigieg.... Read More
An update on the candidates' odds as they turn their attention to the Iowa caucus... Read More
The latest on impeachment and Trump's approval rating... Read More
Betting markets and polls point toward Trump getting impeached by the House, but the Senate will make his removal from office unlikely. None of this seems to be changing Trump's re-election chances.... Read More
American politics is more polarized than any time since the Civil War. Congress votes along party lines to the exclusion of almost everything else. This reflects the mood of the country, which is not likely to change anytime soon.... Read More
In the wake of last week's Democrat debate, Elizabeth Warren's odds are slipping while Pete Buttigieg's odds surge. Warren still leads the pack, but her quest for the nomination is heading in the wrong direction.... Read More
The U.S. is a highly polarized country, which is apparent in many different measures.... Read More
The betting markets have been telling us for weeks that Warren is the Democrat leader. The polls and cable news channels are just coming around to this realization. Watch the betting markets. They tell you what the polls and cable news stories will look like several weeks from now.... Read More
Endorsements from Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Ilhan Omar put Bernie Sanders back into third place in the Democrat race.... Read More
Warren continues to top the list of Democrat hopefuls, followed by Biden. Hillary Clinton, who has denied any interest in running, has moved into a tie for third place next to Andrew Yang.... Read More
The latest from the betting markets on impeachment and the 2020 race... Read More
Predictit.org is the largest election betting market in the United States. Bettors believe an impeachment is likely, but conviction is unlikely. For now, they do not believe this will have a big effect on Trump's 2020 fortunes. The impeachment story has probably affected the Democrat side of the equation more, as Biden's odds are slumping, Warren's are surging and Hillary's non-campaign is even picking up steam.... Read More
The third Democrat debate is tonight. The polls suggest Biden is in the lead, while betting markets put Warren at the top.... Read More